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Most scientific papers are probably wrong

November 4th, 2005

What an an astounding statement from the New Scientist journal. I don’t know much about the source, however on all appearances it looks like a reputable source in the science community. What does this mean and imply for how new products and choices are made? For our mapping project and how we are engaging youth and adults on basic issues related to their experiences, I think it supports our chosen direction and approach to research.

“Most published scientific research papers are wrong, according to a new analysis. Assuming that the new paper is itself correct, problems with experimental and statistical methods mean that there is less than a 50% chance that the results of any randomly chosen scientific paper are true.”

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Brent pre-smtwl

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